This is an estimation as to who currently controls what in Libya, and the disposition of Gaddafi’s key ground units. See here for a breakdown of what these units are.
(click on map for full size and full resolution version)
Key Cities Controlled by Rebels:
Benghazi – Center of Rebel political power and authority.
Ras Lanuf – Forward Edge of Battle Area for Rebels, most rebel heavy weapons located here.
Zawiya – In Rebellion, Independent of Benghazi Authority. Under siege by Mercenaries and Regular Army tanks, expect final body count to include many women and children.
Misrata – In Rebellion, Independent of Benghazi Authority. Under siege by the Khomis Brigade and Regular Army tanks, expect final body count to include many women and children.
Other Rebelling Cities – Rebels in cities west of that red line are more-or-less operating on their own, and are recieving no direct aid from Rebel authorities in Benghazi.
Key Cities Controlled by Gaddafi:
Tripoli – Garrisoned by Mercenaries and Amazonian Guards guarding Gaddafi’s person. The large Pro-Gaddafi demonstrations that took place today amount to an expression of “We will be good, please don’t butcher us like you are doing to the people of Misrata and Zuwara” and should not be seen as to indicate true long-term loyalty to the regime.
Sabha – Former site if Libyan Nuclear Weapons program, garrisoned by police personally loyal to regime. Most of the town’s food comes from the coast, so Sabha’s loyalty may follow whichever side is able to keep the food flowing in.
Bin Jawad – The unit I’ve previously termed “NWG” is currently located here. Repelled Rebel assault today. They have somewhere between 50-100 technicals, each with a medium or heavy machine gun. Disconcerting reports indicate that the population may have fought rebels alongside government troops – or they could have been NWG troops in civilian clothes.
Sirt – Much of population personally loyal to Gaddafi. This may be a touch, and bloody, nut to crack.